<p>There is an old research article on tibia-stats.com from 2011 linked by the TibiaWiki: https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105/http://www.tibia-stats.com/index.php?akcja=6003&research=fishing (from the web archive). I'm copying the images here for reference.<br><br>The reference. and reverse engineer the formula from the slope of the lines.<br><br>Let's call L' = skill - 10.<br><br>The plot of normal fishing success ratio (Y) vs skill (X) (by Gorak):</p><p><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/normalfishing.jpg" alt="Graph - normal fishing"></p><p>Ice alt="Graph - normal fishing" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/normalfishing.jpg"></p><p>A simple formula that would generate such line is <strong>min(10 + L' * 0.6, 50)%</strong></p><p></p><p>Ice fishing is harder (the formula was not tested all the way to skill 100 because Northern Fishburger was bugged at that time):</p><p><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/icefishsuccess.jpg" alt="Graph - ice fishing success"></p><p>Mechanical success" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/icefishsuccess.jpg"></p><p>A simple formula that would generate such line is<strong> <span style="background-color:#f4f4f4; color:#34495e; font-family:Ubuntu,Helvetica,Arial,FreeSans,sans-serif">min(5+L'/2, 50)%</span></strong></p><p></p><p></p><p>Mechanical Fish – there is (was) a fixed 1/6 success ratio, but the outcome was depending on the skill (X). Similarly, it was not tested beyond skill 90.</p><p><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/mechanicalfish.jpg" alt="Graph - mechanical fishing"></p><p>All fishing" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20210128160105im_/http://www.tibia-stats.com/img/research/fishing/mechanicalfish.jpg"></p><p>A simple formula that would generate such line is <strong>min(24 + L'/3, 50)% </strong>multiply that by 1/6 base chance to get <strong>min(4 + L'/18, 8.33)%</strong></p><p></p><p>All credit goes to Gorak and tibia-stats.com</p><p></p>