Revisions for post #1440

<p style="text-align:justify">Actually, I guess that the style="text-align: justify;">I was an AoL on a character that doesn't even exist anymore. It is basically a "lottery" that every character can join once a year each December with 0 cost per try.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong><img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px">Also, I should highlight that there is zero evidence about player's behavior being something that can influence the present that you will receive from Santa Claus NPC (unfortunately).<img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px"></strong></p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong>As my mathematical approach revealed, the group of numbers obtained from the huge amount of trials (chars gifted) contained on the answer wrong about this whole stuff. Sorry about the inconvenience.&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify;"></p><p style="text-align: justify;">This is a random gifting coded NPC after several years of Tibia, the best that I got from it all. However, you have low chances of getting certain presents were proved as being very low according to the table posted by @Zupakode, so <strong>it is not a random event</strong>. Most of the time you will get a colored something decent at all when analyzed. The programmers set Santa Claus to give certain presents more frequently, so there is no random number generation on the code for Santa Claus NPC currently. If you are looking for the biggest prizes, you have a mathematical disadvantage set against you (just like on Slot Machines in real life, although many people think that they are random as well).</strong></p>all. Common presents are the Christmas Bundle along with something, as Bundles + Candy Canes or Snowballs + Candy Canes. <strong>I had an argument before because I looked this bias as a proof&nbsp;that something there isn't random, but technically it&nbsp;still can be considered a random ocurrance, because we can say that you have no control about what will be gifted to your data already shows.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Mathematics can provide solid evidence for it on the field of statistical analysis. One example is the Runs Test. This test can reveal a random pattern if present, through mathematical calculation. We can use an Online Tool as a resource. We can see a very easy website to operate with this statistical test right <a rel="nofollow" href="https://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/Business-stat/otherapplets/Randomness.htm">here</a></p><p style="text-align:justify">You can do it with any group of number. A <strong>P-value </strong>inferior to 0.05 will indicate that the group of numbers tested are actually following some kind of pattern or modification. Going for the analyses of the column called "<strong>Tries to get 1</strong>" resulted on a <strong>P-value</strong> of 0.00003. This is a very low number, which is accompanied by the website tool signalling as the conclusion the following statement: <strong>"Very strong evidence against randomness (trend or seasonality)"</strong>.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><img alt="" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/?qa=blob&amp;qa_blobid=16050568688956779465" style="height:231px; width:600px"></p><p style="text-align:justify">For more information about using the Runs Test on Excel, you can access this link and do it by yourself: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWlod6Jdu-k</p><p style="text-align:justify">This friendly class can tell more in depth about details regarding the theory behind Runs Test, along with other examples: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YLgBwMQoMI</p><p style="text-align:justify">You will usually receive valuable items much less often compared to Bundles. On my personal experience, character.</strong></p><p style="text-align: justify;"></p><p style="text-align: justify;">Due to statistics made by @Zupakode showed that there is no randomness from Santa NPC gifting data, we can determine what frequency of presents showing up to&nbsp;the population.&nbsp;So always "give a shot"&nbsp; on Santa!</p>

<p style="text-align:justify">Actually, I guess that the chances of getting certain presents were proved as being very low according to the table posted by @Zupakode, so <strong>it is not a random event</strong>. Most of the time you will get a colored Christmas Bundle along with something, as your data already shows.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Mathematics can provide solid evidence for it on the field of statistical analysis. One example is the Runs Test. This test can reveal a random pattern if present, through mathematical calculation. We can use an Online Tool as a resource. We can see a very easy website to operate with this statistical test right <a rel="nofollow" href="https://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/Business-stat/otherapplets/Randomness.htm">here</a></p><p style="text-align:justify">You can do it with any group of number. A <strong>P-value </strong>inferior to 0.05 will indicate that the group of numbers tested are actually following some kind of pattern or modification. Going for the analyses of the column called "<strong>Tries to get 1</strong>" resulted on a <strong>P-value</strong> of 0.00003. This is a very low number, which is accompanied by the website tool signalling as the conclusion the following statement: <strong>"Very strong evidence against randomness (trend or seasonality)"</strong>.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><img alt="" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/?qa=blob&amp;qa_blobid=16050568688956779465" style="height:231px; width:600px"></p><p style="text-align:justify">For more information about using the Runs Test on Excel, you can access this link and do it by yourself: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWlod6Jdu-k</p><p style="text-align:justify">This friendly class can tell more in depth about details regarding the theory behind Runs Test, along with other examples: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YLgBwMQoMI</p><p style="text-align:justify">You will usually receive valuable items much less often compared to Bundles. On my personal experience, after several years of Tibia, the best that I got from it was an AoL on a character that doesn't even exist anymore. It is basically a "lottery" that every character can join once a year each December with 0 cost per try.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong><img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px">Also, I should highlight that there is zero evidence about player's behavior being something that can influence the present that you will receive from Santa Claus NPC (unfortunately).<img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px"></strong></p>width:23px"></strong></p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong>As my mathematical approach revealed, the group of numbers obtained from the huge amount of trials (chars gifted) contained on the answer made by @Zupakode showed that there is no randomness at all when analyzed. The programmers set Santa Claus to give certain presents more frequently, so there is no random number generation on the code for Santa Claus NPC currently. If you are looking for the biggest prizes, you have a mathematical disadvantage set against you (just like on Slot Machines in real life, although many people think that they are random as well).</strong></p>

<p style="text-align:justify">Actually, I guess that the chances of getting certain presents were proved as being very low according to the table posted by @Zupakode, so <strong>it is not a random event</strong>. Most of the time you will get a colored Christmas Bundle along with something, as your data already shows.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Mathematics can provide solid evidence for it on the field of statistical analysis. One example is the Runs Test. This test can reveal a random pattern if present, through mathematical calculation. We can use an Online Tool as a resource. We can see a very easy website to operate with this statistical test right <a rel="nofollow" href="https://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/Business-stat/otherapplets/Randomness.htm">here</a></p><p style="text-align:justify">You can do it with any group of number. A <strong>P-value </strong>inferior to 0.05 will indicate that the group of numbers tested are actually following some kind of pattern or modification. Going for the analyses of the column called "<strong>Tries to get 1</strong>" resulted on a <strong>P-value</strong> of 0.00003. This is a very low number, which is accompanied by the website tool signalling as the conclusion the following statement: <strong>"Very strong evidence against randomness (trend or seasonality)"</strong>.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><img alt="" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/?qa=blob&amp;qa_blobid=16050568688956779465" style="height:231px; width:600px"></p><p style="text-align:justify">For more information about using the Runs Test on Excel, you can access this link and do it by yourself: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWlod6Jdu-k</p><p style="text-align:justify">This friendly class can tell more in depth about details regarding the theory behind the Runs Test, along with other examples: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YLgBwMQoMI</p><p style="text-align:justify"></p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong>Also, style="text-align:justify">You will usually receive valuable items much less often compared to Bundles. On my personal experience, after several years of Tibia, the best that I got from it was an AoL on a character that doesn't even exist anymore. It is basically a "lottery" that every character can join once a year each December with 0 cost per try.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong><img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px">Also, I should point one highlight that there is zero evidence about player player's behavior being something that can influence the the present that you will receive from Santa Claus NPC (unfortunately).</strong></p>(unfortunately).<img title="enlightened" alt="enlightened" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/qa-plugin/wysiwyg-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/lightbulb.png" style="height:23px; width:23px"></strong></p>

<p>Actually, <p style="text-align:justify">Actually, I guess that the chances of getting certain presents were proved as being very low according to the table that you are displaying, posted by @Zupakode, so <strong>it is not a random event</strong>. Most of the time you will get a colored Christmas Bundle along with something, as your data already shows.</p><p>Mathematics shows.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Mathematics can provide solid evidence for it on the field of statistical analysis. One example is the Runs Test. This test can reveal a random pattern if present, through mathematical calculation. We can use an Online Tool as a resource. We can see a very easy website to operate with this statistical test right <a rel="nofollow" href="https://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/Business-stat/otherapplets/Randomness.htm">here</a></p><p>You href="https://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/Business-stat/otherapplets/Randomness.htm">here</a></p><p style="text-align:justify">You can do it with any group of number. A <strong>P-value </strong>inferior to 0.05 will indicate that the group of numbers tested are actually following some kind of pattern or modification. Going for the analyses of the column called "<strong>Tries to get 1</strong>" resulted on a <strong>P-value</strong> of 0.00003. This is a very low number, which is accompanied by the website tool signalling as the conclusion the following statement: <strong>"Very strong evidence against randomness (trend or seasonality)"</strong>.</p><p><img seasonality)"</strong>.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><img alt="" src="https://www.tibiaqa.com/?qa=blob&amp;qa_blobid=16050568688956779465" style="height:231px; width:600px"></p><div>For width:600px"></p><p style="text-align:justify">For more information about using the Runs Test on Excel, you can access this link and do it by yourself: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWlod6Jdu-k</div><div>This https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWlod6Jdu-k</p><p style="text-align:justify">This friendly class can tell more in depth about details regarding the theory behind the Runs Test, along with other examples: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YLgBwMQoMI</div>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YLgBwMQoMI</p><p style="text-align:justify"></p><p style="text-align:justify"><strong>Also, I should point one that there is zero evidence about player behavior being something that can influence the the present that you will receive from Santa Claus NPC (unfortunately).</strong></p>