To profit off of this event I highly suggest you wait for the event to be active to sell items. However, to purchase items you can probably find better deals when event isn't active because not everyone will be looking for decorative sheets for example. The items you will profit off of for the most part will be the decorative sheets, beer taps, and the plushies. Please note, prices change often but this is what I've noticed-
Bellicose Orger drop Decorative red, blue, and green sheets (worth several kk's) which can be used with a beer tap (50k-100k)from Roast Pork which players will buy these items in order to obtain a mount. You can also get an achievement from just getting one mount it's called, Do a Barrel Roll! Seeing how all these items are hard to loot and very crowded spawns a lot of players will spend big money (especially during the event) to avoid the hassle. For more information to tame visit this link- How to tame Red/Green/Blue Rolling Barrel mount?
You get festive points by playing mini-games or defeating King Chuck. A lot of items from Orcsoberfest you cannot sell to other players as they go to your store inbox so keep that in mind but here's a list of what you can exchange with festive points, What rewards can I gain for festive points? However, a big ticket item is also the plushies you get from lots (and possibly King Chuck) which you can by exchanging festive points-
- Plushie of Gaz'Haragoth 2kk-2.5kk
- Plushie of King Tibianus 1kk-3kk
- Sight of Surrender's Plushie 1kk
- Plushie of Devovorga 1.1kk-2kk
- Plushie of a Deepling 1.7kk-3kk
- Plushie of a Hydra 3.5kk-5.5kk
I recommend you look at (Tibia bosses price checker) just a reminder prices change on a daily basis but this is what's listed currently. In my opinion, all plushies are not worth less than 1kk but not more than 5kk if you want to finish your collection. They are very hard to loot from lots, I've tried every event and had no luck getting any - I used maybe only 400 lots though.
Players might also by a Milk Churn looted from a Cow. If you use it on a cow you get a Filled Milk Churn. They also drop cow bells, veal and a meat hammer . However we do not know what these items do yet but players might buy them as they are only obtained during this event. Some say their just decorative. Pacera (my world) doesn't really have a market for these items yet as no one is seeking them. In my opinion, it's good to loot and keep them who knows.
There are other items from Orcsoberfest that aren't worth mentioning but I recommend keeping for decorative or just souvenir purchases.